THEORETICAL RESULTS AND EMPIRICAL STUDIES ON THE FORECASTING ACCURACY OF THE HOLT'S LINEAR EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD1995 · The Holt's linear exponential smoothing method has been frequently used to forecast a time series that has a trend. In this paper, we investigate the forecasting accuracy of this method. We give theoretical results on the asymptotic prediction errors for some stochastic processes. Using real-life time series data, we show short-range forecasting performances of this method. Problems related to the range of the smoothing parameters are also discussed. (管理者追加)リポジトリ登録情報を移行しました。確認のうえ、加除修正をしてください。